Tag Archives: Jolani

Yemen Won’t Fall Like Assad

A lot of folks are hoping that Yemen’s Houthi government (Ansarallah) will fall like Syria’s Assad did in 2024. They’re going to be disappointed. Today’s podcast covers this quite silly comparison in detail. The accompanying Substack post reveals why I still think the Arab Spring was a step forward.

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How I got Syria So Wrong…

Syria’s fall took me by surprise. I had become so used to the status quo, I didn’t think there was any way it could change. But at the end of the day, that status quo was unacceptable to too many people, and it had to end. Today’s video includes some unproduced reflections on the promise and peril of this development, and some speculation on why I missed just how shaky the regime was.

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